Having put 2023 firmly behind in the rear-view mirror, let’s look at 2024. Not a lot of predictions but many things to be on the lookout for in what a less chaotic but extremely important year may be ahead.
Like with other going concern properties, golf courses and marinas include a combination of real estate, and non-realty. And there is an important distinction between the two. Land and buildings (sticks and bricks) are real estate, while real property is the bundle of rights flowing from the ownership of real estate.
The FED has reached a stabilizing level of economic activity, and will now be watching domestic micro as well as macro indicators for further action, including rate cutting, to achieve so-called soft landing. The FOMC has already implied that the March FOMC meeting will be too soon to expect the first rate cut and acknowledged that the downside rate risk is indeed in the discussions.
I spent the better part of a day this week working with attorneys on estate planning. I am clearly not an attorney, but I have learned much over the years while consulting on real estate, its potential, its future during the life of clients, as well as, shall we say, later.
The turbulence in the economy, in spite of extraordinary resilience, has dominated the media. Commercial property is an economic derivative, and, accordingly, is impacted by the macro trends. Performance is also property by property, and the bottom line is dependent upon micro trends. Like the weather, climate change, and innovation. All subject to change, and the stewards of the built environment must be nimble, must be quick.
Having been a commercial real estate appraiser for over 40 years, I’ve experienced numerous market corrections and the impacts of various governmental agencies’ changing fiscal and economic policies. For many years, I focused on the valuation of retail real estate, and I can recall delivering a speech to about 400 attendees of a UConn conference explaining the potential impact of the burgeoning online retail market on the existing supply of retail real estate.
The official Counselor of Real Estate report on “10 trends to watch for in 2024” will be out shortly, written by economic experts and practitioners. In the meantime, I have my own projections, based upon research, as well as persistent reviews over many years in real estate.
It’s official. The first new edition of The Uniform Standards of Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) since 2020 is here. Do I sense a Big Yawn? Stay alert, this is some interesting stuff.
Having had the experience of working in public accounting and studying tax law in graduate school, combined with working in the appraisal profession for nearly 40 years, I have come across a great many instances where the appraiser becomes an important person in the lineage
Many authors, including myself, have been writing about the need for more, and more affordable housing. The amount needed varies significantly by different reports. Fannie May says 4.5mm; Realtor.com figures 6.5mm; National Low Income Housing Coalition reports